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HMM — what happened after each surge

HMM reached the 24h gainer board 10 times in the last 2 days. 10 of those were trading below the surge price seven days later (median -48.64%).

Recorded 2026-08-122026-08-14 (UTC) on MEXC. Returns are percent change from the price at the moment Coinugget detected the surge.

Surge events
10
Below after 7d
10 of 10
Median 7d
-48.6%
Avg surge
+5.4%

Every recorded surge

HMM: all 10 recorded surge events, with forward returns. Source: Coinugget Surge & Signal Outcome Archive, 2026-08-12 to 2026-08-14 UTC.
DateSurge1h4h1d3d7dRSI
2026-08-14+5.4%-47.4%-45.5%-61.0%-70.0%-54.1%
2026-08-14+5.4%-37.7%-42.2%-61.5%-67.9%-55.2%
2026-08-14+5.4%-19.0%-33.4%-54.1%-71.2%-54.0%
2026-08-13+5.4%-19.8%-17.0%-38.5%-71.0%-47.9%
2026-08-13+5.4%-33.5%-22.0%-39.1%-65.2%-41.6%
2026-08-13+5.4%-35.0%-24.1%-45.5%-62.5%-46.2%
2026-08-13+5.4%-17.6%-30.9%-42.2%-57.7%-51.9%
2026-08-13+5.4%-11.8%-21.2%-33.4%-55.0%-48.8%
2026-08-13+5.4%-10.2%-10.5%-17.0%-54.8%-45.9%
2026-08-12+5.4%-31.6%-9.7%-22.0%-54.9%-48.5%

Methodology

  • A surge event is recorded when the coin appears on the 24h gainer board Coinugget tracks.
  • Returns are measured from the price at detection, not from the daily open, at fixed horizons. Nothing is back-filled.
  • Only events whose 7-day horizon has closed are counted, so the most recent week is not here yet.
  • Counts are given instead of percentages. With 10 events, a percentage would read like a statistic when it is really a handful of cases.
  • This is a record of what happened. It is not a prediction and not financial advice.

Raw data: free JSON API (no key required) · All coins: signal outcome dashboard